Long-term plans

There’s an old saying that says “when humans plan, God laughs”. Yet, I believe in long-term planning. I know, it’s often just nonsense. So many things can go wrong. You can be struck by lightning. The path can lead to some other place. You can lose the ability to execute it. Things can go wrong. I get it. It can be a bad plan. The longer a plan takes, the less likely it should be to accomplish it.

But there’s a trick with long-term plans. Essentially, keep showing up. Like a drop falling over and over at the same spot until it carves the stone. Showing up changes things. That’s something we can normally do. We can manage ourselves, we can be the drop no matter if it will eventually carve the stone or not.

And while you keep showing up, you learn, you set the bar for persistence, you give an example, and you may add 0.01% to someone else’s inspiration. If you do that a hundred times, the 0.01% becomes a full unit of inspiration. Just like reverse-buying chocolate. Bring that home, eventually everyone will eat it. Don’t bring that home, who knows. Maybe nobody brings it home today.

If the goal is worthy, the world becomes a better place even if it’s not fulfilled.

Speaking of goals, despite the series of injuries, I’m still showing up to the pull-up challenge. I started taking selfies on day 18, missed some. This screenshot is also missing some. But it captures my general belief.

Nothing wakes you up better than…

…Stepping in dog poop.

I had a 1.5-hour drive ahead of me in the rain yesterday, and was very stressed because I was sleepy. While cleaning plum petals off the car, I stepped straight into it. Scrubbing and washing out the winter boots with unpleasantly deep treads woke me up completely and I had a safe drive. This made me want to generalize that certain negative events can have a more positive impact as wakeup calls than the damage they cause.

Meanwhile the plums smell great, look great, just don’t park right below:

Why aren’t intelligent people happier

I found this nice article today that digs into the subject. Check it out.

The article suggests that we’ve been measuring intelligence the wrong way, which leads to poor correlation with life success metrics. Most of our intelligence metrics (like IQ) focus on how well someone can solve clearly defined problems. Real life rarely works that way. Living well, building relationships, raising children, and so on, depend more on the ability to navigate poorly defined problems. As a result, you can have a chess champion who is also a miserable human.

The article goes further and states that AIs can’t become AGIs because they’re only operating with human definitions (training data), and well-defined problems coming from prompts. AGIs would have to master poorly defined problems first.

How Do I Handle the Daily News?

Daily writing prompt
Which topics would you like to be more informed about?

Most of my effort goes into making sure I know what I need for work, and what’s happening in school or with the kids. That’s the stuff that really matters. Honestly, if there’s an area where I feel I should probably know more, it’s school/kids.

I’ve discovered that most news articles, TV, and so on are farming by exploiting our productive emotions, primarily fear and anger. I stopped watching TV years ago, and no longer pay for a cable. My news consumption is likely under 2-3 minutes per day, mostly checking if we should hide in a bunker already or not. So far, the news meet the long established pattern:

  • You should be afraid, very, very afraid because…
  • Here are two, three, or five things that are unfair, corrupt, or awful…
  • Somebody just died in a car crash…
  • Here’s an extreme, factually questionable opinion…

My unfortunate conclusion on this cycle is:

Little Things

Yesterday, I saw the Jetpack app on my phone and it felt like I’ve not turned that on in awhile. It made me think about how easily we let things slip. We do something regularly, then skip it once, then a few more times… and eventually, we just stop. Even if we made a clear commitment to keep it up.

Other examples:

  • Use that frontendmasters subscription, because I made a commitment to learn SVG animations but never did
  • A 10-year-old dashboard, from a past role, visiting which used to be second nature for me
  • Vacuuming the car
  • Checking up on an old friend who’s always happy to chat but never calls
  • Watering the plant in the other room
  • Reading a few pages of that book that’s boring but useful and I want to finish

I was greatly embarrassed and checked all 10-year-old dashboards, the trash in the car (uh, forgot one thing that just stays in the trunk), messaged a few friends, and watered the plant.

The frontendmasters sub is gone, I have to admit I’m not learning SVG animations any time soon.